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摘要: 从马克思再生产和西方发展经济学中抽取和借鉴的一点是,在认定资本需求取决于人口、生活水平、资本技术基础上,结合中国实际探讨同人口城市化之间的关系,揭示50年中国人口城市化一波三折产生的积累效应,阐发适当加快人口城市化步伐对扩大消费总需求的决定性意义,立足于资源合理配置,实现农村富余劳动力及其附属人口向城镇转移的决策选择。 全文阅读...
Abstract: Tempo effects in period fertility indicators are widely regarded as a source of bias or distortion. But is this always the case? Whether tempo change results in bias depends, in the view advanced here, on the measure used, the meaning of bias/distortion, and the objective of analysis. Two ways of construing bias in period measures are su......
[Abstract]  This article is concerned with sensitivity analysis of life disparity with respect to changes in mortality rates. A relationship is derived that describes the effect on life disparity caused by a perturbation of the force of mortality. Recently Zhang and Vaupel introduced a "threshold age", before which averting deaths reduces disp......
Background: Eastern and South-Eastern Asian countries have witnessed a marked decline in old age mortality in recent decades. Yet no studies have investigated the trends and patterns in old age mortality and cause-of-death in the region. Objective: We reviewed the trends and patterns of old age mortality and cause-of-death for countries in the regi......
        2014年11月13日-14日,由中国社会科学院、北京大学国家发展研究院、美国加州大学伯克利分校老龄经济和人口研究中心、美国东西方中心联合举办,中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所、中国卫生经济学会卫生经济理论与政策专业委员会,中国社会科学院劳动与社会保障研究中心承办的“中国社会科学论坛2014暨第十次代际转移的宏观经济学......
        2010年8月18日上午由中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所、中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所、日本久留米大学/久留米大学中国会、首钢总公司(首钢发展研究院)、中国社会科学院老年科学研究中心、中国国际经济技术合作促进会联合主办,日本学术振兴会北京研究联络中心给予后援支持的“第十五届中日韩社会经济国际研讨会”在中国......
一导言        市场一体化是市场竞争性的必然结果。从地区性市场区域性市场、到全国统一市场的演进过程既是经济发展中的重要构件,也往往成为经济转型国家改革成功与否的重要标志之一。近年来,针对中国的渐进改革战略,有很多研究就其促进市场一体化的功效提出了质疑。Young(2000)在其颇具影响的一篇文章中指出,中国的渐进式改革战略使......
  近日,多家媒体报道“中国去年930万人移民”,并称“中国发生大规模海外移民潮,大量精英人才逃离中国加入外国国籍”。中国社科院对相关数据核实后发现,这类传言将“总量”混淆为“增量”、将“移民”等同于“入籍”。事实上,过去3年我国平均每年海外移民约19万人,我国海外移民占总人口的比例在世界上处于低位。
  “930万人移民”的传言从哪来
  回应:将“总量”混......
Demographers who use survey data and census data from health and demographic surveillance areas can gain substantially from expanding their repertoire of methods to make use of qualitative methods. Similarly, those who conduct and analyse data primarily from semi-structured interviews or focus groups can benefit from information provided by survey ......
Abstract: A simple method is proposed for projecting future deficits in a defined benefit or defined contribution pension scheme. The annual pension deficit rate is expressed in terms of the elderly dependency ratio (determined by demographic factors), the average retirement age, and a few parameters describing the scheme. An illustrative applicat......
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